Picerno 0-0 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.13/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.27
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Crotone
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 2-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
04.03.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
30.10.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
0-0
AWAY Crotone
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno and Crotone fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Picerno had 53% of the ball to Crotone's 47%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Picerno and 1.33 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Crotone?

Picerno 0-0 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Picerno 35%, draw 26%, Crotone 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crotone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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