Benevento 1-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.40/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.70
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento and Audace Cerignola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Benevento had 44% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 56%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Audace Cerignola?

Benevento 1-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Benevento 48%, draw 25%, Audace Cerignola 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Over 2.5
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