Casertana 4-3 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.30/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.56
-24% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 0-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
4-3
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana squeezed past Nuova Monterosi 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Casertana had 65% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 35%, shots finished 21-11.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Nuova Monterosi?

Casertana 4-3 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Casertana 51%, draw 25%, Nuova Monterosi 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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