Monterrey vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Monterrey
MEK
1-2
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Puebla
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 1-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey and Puebla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Monterrey carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterrey had 69% of the ball to Puebla's 31%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Puebla?
Monterrey 1-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 60%, draw 24%, Puebla 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.