Arbroath 3-0 East Fife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 13 Jan 2026

Arbroath
3-0 HT 1-0
East Fife
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Arbroath vs East Fife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arbroath v East Fife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY East Fife EU Bookmakers 20%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.61/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/3.03
-36% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arbroath vs East Fife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
5W-1D-0L
AWAY East Fife
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
29.11.2025 East Fife East Fife 0-2 HT 0-2 Arbroath Arbroath İKK
24.09.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 2-0 East Fife East Fife İKCK
14.07.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İKLK
16.03.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 1-1 East Fife East Fife İK1
26.02.2019 East Fife East Fife 1-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
03.11.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 0-0 East Fife East Fife İK1
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs East Fife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath cruised past East Fife 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arbroath and 0.50 for East Fife.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs East Fife?

Arbroath 3-0 East Fife in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs East Fife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 56%, draw 21%, East Fife 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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