Stirling Albion 1-2 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
16%
3.8
Away
58%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.65
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.9pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.1pp
58%
Away Win
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 61%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.50/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
22.07.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
15.04.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
31.12.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 3-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
15.10.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
13.08.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
05.03.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir squeezed past Stirling Albion 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stirling Albion and 0.67 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Stenhousemuir?

Stirling Albion 1-2 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 27%, draw 16%, Stenhousemuir 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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