AFC Sudbury 1-3 Real Bedford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Bedford EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.03/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.51
-21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +124%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Bedford
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.10.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Bedford Real Bedford İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Real Bedford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Bedford got the better of AFC Sudbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Bedford as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Real Bedford?

AFC Sudbury 1-3 Real Bedford in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Real Bedford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Bedford win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 29%, draw 24%, Real Bedford 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Bedford) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Bedford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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