United of Manchester vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
United of Manchester v Workington — Team-Based Signals
United of Manchester vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
United of Manchester
İNGNLP
United of Manchester 2-2 Workington — Actual Match Statistics
United of Manchester and Workington couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had United of Manchester at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, United of Manchester had 64% of the ball to Workington's 36%, shots finished 22-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for United of Manchester and 1.17 for Workington.
What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Workington?
United of Manchester 2-2 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Workington?
Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 57%, draw 22%, Workington 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (United of Manchester) went the other way.