United of Manchester vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
United of Manchester v Workington — Team-Based Signals
United of Manchester vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
United of Manchester
İNGNLP
United of Manchester 2-2 Workington — Actual Match Statistics
United of Manchester and Workington couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was United of Manchester at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, United of Manchester had 47% of the ball to Workington's 53%, shots finished 13-18.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Workington led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for United of Manchester and 2.50 for Workington.
What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Workington?
United of Manchester 2-2 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Workington?
Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 44%, draw 30%, Workington 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.