Whitby Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.01/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.69
-30% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2025 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
14.12.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
07.09.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 5-1 HT 3-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
01.01.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-4 HT 0-3 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Whitby Town
1-0
AWAY Ilkeston Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town nicked a narrow win over Ilkeston Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Whitby Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Whitby Town had 44% of the ball to Ilkeston Town's 56%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Whitby Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Whitby Town and 1.40 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Whitby Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 43%, draw 22%, Ilkeston Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Whitby Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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