İran U23 0-1 Lübnan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 13 Jan 2026

İran U23
0-1 HT 0-0
Lübnan U23
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

İran U23 vs Lübnan U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İran U23 v Lübnan U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran U23 EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübnan U23 EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.69/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+44% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
– Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

İran U23 0-1 Lübnan U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran U23
0-1
AWAY Lübnan U23
2.32 xG 1.78
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
443 Passes 121
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İran U23 vs Lübnan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübnan U23 squeezed past İran U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. İran U23 carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İran U23 had 72% of the ball to Lübnan U23's 28%, shots finished 24-16, expected goals 2.32 to 1.78 — on chances, İran U23 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of İran U23 vs Lübnan U23?

İran U23 0-1 Lübnan U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran U23 vs Lübnan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split İran U23 74%, draw 17%, Lübnan U23 9%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (İran U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İran U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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