BAE U23 1-1 Suriye U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 13 Jan 2026

BAE U23
1-1 HT 1-0
Suriye U23
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

BAE U23 vs Suriye U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
28%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BAE U23 v Suriye U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Suriye U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.81/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.62
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
8.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

BAE U23 1-1 Suriye U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAE U23
1-1
AWAY Suriye U23
0.89 xG 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
229 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BAE U23 vs Suriye U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BAE U23 and Suriye U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 36% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, BAE U23 had 39% of the ball to Suriye U23's 61%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.89 to 1.20.

What was the final score of BAE U23 vs Suriye U23?

BAE U23 1-1 Suriye U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAE U23 vs Suriye U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a BAE U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BAE U23 39%, draw 36%, Suriye U23 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BAE U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BAE U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFCU23 More AFC U23 Championship
13 Jan 2026
14:30 Özbekistan U23 vs Güney Kore U23 Analysis →
14:30 İran U23 vs Lübnan U23 Analysis →
19:30 Japonya U23 vs Katar U23 Analysis →