Japonya U23 2-0 Katar U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar U23 EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Katar U23
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
529 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2024 Katar U23 Katar U23 2-4 HT 1-1 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
20.09.2023 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Katar U23 Katar U23 AFCAG
15.01.2020 Katar U23 Katar U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
2-0
AWAY Katar U23
1.26 xG 0.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
385 Passes 351
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 2
18 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Katar U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 beat Katar U23 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 52% of the ball to Katar U23's 48%, shots finished 22-1, expected goals 1.26 to 0.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Japonya U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Japonya U23 and 1.33 for Katar U23.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Katar U23?

Japonya U23 2-0 Katar U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Katar U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 65%, draw 22%, Katar U23 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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