Sydney (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.66
No
34%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.3pp
34%
BTTS No
44%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.87/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.95
-16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.9 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.58 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
292 Passes 234
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
36 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
14.12.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
21.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
04.01.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.40 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 2
268 Passes 260
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) nicked a narrow win over Sydney (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 51% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 49%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.40 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.17 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 46%, draw 21%, Newcastle Jets (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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