Al Shorta 3-0 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Jan 2026

Al Shorta
3-0 HT 1-0
Al Mosul
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Shorta vs Al Mosul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shorta v Al Mosul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 16%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.30/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.49
+48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta swept aside Al Mosul 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Al Mosul?

Al Shorta 3-0 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 57%, draw 26%, Al Mosul 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
13 Jan 2026
15:00 Diala vs Al Zawraa Analysis →
17:30 Al Karma vs Al-Qasim Analysis →
17:30 Baghdad vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Analysis →
17:45 Erbil vs Duhok Analysis →