Erbil 2-1 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Jan 2026

Erbil
2-1 HT 0-0
Duhok
📅13/01/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
52%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.4pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 27%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.02/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.90
-17% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Duhok
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.06.2025 Erbil Erbil 2-1 HT 0-0 Duhok Duhok IRAK
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil nicked a narrow win over Duhok 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erbil as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Duhok?

Erbil 2-1 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Erbil 49%, draw 30%, Duhok 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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