13/01/2026
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Karma vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
2%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
22%
Draw
13%
9%
Away Win
6%
49%
Under 2.5
41%
51%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
52%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karma v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 8%
+18% /
+18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.59/1.90
+13%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
-12%
63%
Ball Possession
37%
18
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
3
446 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
223 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Karma vs Al-Qasim Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Karma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Al-Qasim
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Karma vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma squeezed past Al-Qasim 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al-Qasim?
Al Karma 1-0 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al-Qasim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 69%, draw 22%, Al-Qasim 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Karma)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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13 Jan 2026