Glentoran FC 1-4 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.67
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
11%
5.05
X/2
14%
5.89
X/X
15%
3.89
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
12%
4.63
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +29%
1.10/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.98
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
12.12.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
27.09.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.04.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
18.03.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.11.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC swept aside Glentoran FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Larne FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Larne FC?

Glentoran FC 1-4 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 37%, draw 31%, Larne FC 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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