Ballymena United 2-2 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
55%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
13%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 24% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.52
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
6%
7.27
X/2 EV+ ✗
27%
4.71
X/X
6%
4.65
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.84
2/X
10%
13.6
Value flag · X/2 at 4.71 — our 27% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
55%
Away Win
46%
+9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.02/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.49
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-2 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
05.04.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
21.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.01.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Cliftonville couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cliftonville at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballymena United and 2.17 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Cliftonville?

Ballymena United 2-2 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 23%, draw 22%, Cliftonville 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cliftonville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
13 Jan 2026
22:45 Carrick Rangers vs Linfield FC Analysis →
22:45 Glentoran FC vs Larne FC Analysis →