Cliftonville 3-2 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.65
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.52
X/2
9%
7.27
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
7%
23.65
2/2
7%
5.46
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
2.17/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
+39% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
21.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.01.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cliftonville and 0.83 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Ballymena United?

Cliftonville 3-2 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 54%, draw 26%, Ballymena United 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ BTTS No
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