Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.19
X/2
16%
6.15
X/X
8%
4.9
2/1
5%
24.95
2/2
20%
4.18
2/X
5%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
46%
Away Win
33%
+13.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.63/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
+28% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Corners 6
26.04.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-5 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
03.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRLK
30.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
17.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC ran out comfortable winners over Dungannon Swifts 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.50 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?

Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 32%, draw 22%, Crusaders FC 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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