Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.58
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.75
X/2
15%
5.97
X/X
9%
5.18
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
21%
3.79
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.01/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.34
+52% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Corners 6
11.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-5 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
03.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRLK
30.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
17.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts edged past Crusaders FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.17 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 33%, draw 24%, Crusaders FC 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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