Crusaders FC 1-5 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
29.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
11%
5.38
X/2
12%
5.26
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.7
2/X
9%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.52/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
7 Corners 5
03.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRLK
30.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
17.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts cruised past Crusaders FC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dungannon Swifts found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Crusaders FC 1-5 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 34%, draw 27%, Dungannon Swifts 39%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ BTTS Yes
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