Loughgall FC 0-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

Loughgall FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Portadown FC
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.72
1/2
4%
24.7
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
4%
7.5
X/2 EV+ ✗
26%
4.29
X/X
14%
4.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.64
2/X
6%
14.5
Value flag · X/2 at 4.29 — our 26% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loughgall FC v Portadown FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.58/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.00
+32% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards –

Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
20.08.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
26.12.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC squeezed past Loughgall FC 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.75 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC?

Loughgall FC 0-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 27%, draw 26%, Portadown FC 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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