Linfield FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
21.55
X/1
14%
3.32
X/2
4%
15.2
X/X
10%
5.93
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
13.45
2/X
5%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.82/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.35
-13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
26.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
03.12.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC swept aside Carrick Rangers 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Linfield FC and 1.00 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 58%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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