Portadown FC 1-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.35
X/2
9%
8.1
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.74
2/X
3%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.0pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.85/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.31
-50% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
26.12.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC nicked a narrow win over Loughgall FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Portadown FC and 0.67 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC?

Portadown FC 1-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 48%, draw 25%, Loughgall FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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