Glentoran FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
15%
3.87
X/2
9%
9.18
X/X
9%
5.09
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
11%
7.31
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.7pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.42/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.06
-26% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
23.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 5-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
05.11.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC got the better of Dungannon Swifts 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.50 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Glentoran FC 2-0 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 49%, draw 25%, Dungannon Swifts 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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