Carrick Rangers 2-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.41
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.4
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
23%
3.04
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.53/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.12
+24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
20.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.11.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
15.08.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
05.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers edged past Coleraine FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine FC?

Carrick Rangers 2-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 30%, draw 26%, Coleraine FC 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
12 Oct 2024
17:00 Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →
17:00 Crusaders FC vs Linfield FC Analysis →
17:00 Glentoran FC vs Dungannon Swifts Analysis →
19:30 Portadown FC vs Loughgall FC Analysis →