Carrick Rangers 0-4 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 30% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
39%
Away Win
51%
-12.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
1.42/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.09
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.01.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
10.08.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC cruised past Carrick Rangers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Glenavon FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Carrick Rangers 0-4 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 31%, draw 29%, Glenavon FC 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenavon FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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