Coleraine FC 1-0 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.54
1/2
6%
24.2
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.64
X/2
10%
5.14
X/X
9%
5.2
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
29%
3.07
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.18/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.05
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
14.12.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
16.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.02.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC edged past Linfield FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Coleraine FC 1-0 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 29%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Linfield FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
26 Apr 2025
17:00 Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon FC Analysis →
19:30 Portadown FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →
19:30 Loughgall FC vs Cliftonville Analysis →
19:30 Larne FC vs Glentoran FC Analysis →
19:30 Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC Analysis →