Portadown FC 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

Portadown FC
2-1 HT 2-1
Ballymena United
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Portadown FC vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portadown FC v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.96/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.87
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Portadown FC vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
10.12.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portadown FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Portadown FC 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 51%, draw 27%, Ballymena United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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