Ballymena United 2-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

Ballymena United
2-0 HT 1-0
Portadown FC
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ballymena United vs Portadown FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
12%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.1
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
21%
5.79
X/2
12%
5.3
X/X
10%
4.42
2/1
4%
31.0
2/2
12%
3.59
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
35%
+8.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballymena United v Portadown FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.91/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.01
-33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Ballymena United vs Portadown FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
10.12.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
08.10.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United got the better of Portadown FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ballymena United and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Ballymena United 2-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 44%, draw 24%, Portadown FC 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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