Larne FC 0-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 32% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.53
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
16%
5.6
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.3pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
2.03/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.58
+28% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
07.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-4 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
14.02.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts squeezed past Larne FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dungannon Swifts found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Larne FC and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Larne FC 0-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 40%, draw 27%, Dungannon Swifts 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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