Aldershot Town 0-5 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Feb 2024

Aldershot Town
0-5 HT 0-3
AFC Fylde
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.69
6+ Goals
9%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.92
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
18%
5.27
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
9%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
22.45
2/2
21%
4.03
2/X
9%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 6% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.61/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.75
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
14.03.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.08.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
30.03.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
15.09.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
10.03.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 7-1 HT 5-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Aldershot Town 0-5 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
0-5
AWAY AFC Fylde
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde swept aside Aldershot Town 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; AFC Fylde found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 39% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 61%, shots finished 7-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.17 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde?

Aldershot Town 0-5 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 39%, draw 27%, AFC Fylde 35%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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