York City 0-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.36
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
10%
8.34
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
12%
6.09
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.53/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.83
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
18.03.2023 York City York City 2-1 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
26.11.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
0-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York City vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers edged past York City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, York City had 48% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 52%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for York City and 1.33 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of York City vs Dorking Wanderers?

York City 0-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split York City 45%, draw 26%, Dorking Wanderers 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (York City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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