Oldham Athletic 2-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.69
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.34
X/2
8%
7.22
X/X
10%
4.49
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.48
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.56/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Boreham Wood
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
04.03.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
06.12.2022 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
2-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic squeezed past Boreham Wood 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 54% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.33 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Boreham Wood?

Oldham Athletic 2-1 Boreham Wood in the England - National League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 41%, draw 27%, Boreham Wood 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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