Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
1.45
Over
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.29
No
68%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2-3
36%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
40%
-7.7pp
68%
BTTS No
60%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 39%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
29.09.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
12.05.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.09.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
22.04.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.06.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
17.09.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2-0
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza beat Nueva Chicago 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Gimnasia Mendoza made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.33 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - Cup on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 32%, draw 33%, Nueva Chicago 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nueva Chicago) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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