Nueva Chicago 2-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

Nueva Chicago
2-1 HT 0-1
Gimnasia Mendoza
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Mendoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.41
Over
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
42%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v Gimnasia Mendoza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.12/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.89
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Mendoza Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.09.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
22.04.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.06.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
17.09.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.05.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago squeezed past Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nueva Chicago as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.40 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Nueva Chicago 2-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 41%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Mendoza 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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