Guillermo Brown 0-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
38%
Draw
30%
+8.0pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.46
-29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
23.03.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-1 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn squeezed past Guillermo Brown 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 38% / 30% — and on the day Deportivo Madryn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

Guillermo Brown 0-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 31%, draw 38%, Deportivo Madryn 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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