Atletico Rafaela 1-0 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
40%
2.94
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.7pp
40%
Draw
30%
+9.2pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.55
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela edged past Defensores Unidos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 40% / 22% — and on the day Atletico Rafaela made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores Unidos?

Atletico Rafaela 1-0 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 38%, draw 40%, Defensores Unidos 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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