Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.36
Over 2.5
43%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
0.95/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.23
-6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Quilmes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
10.07.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes nicked a narrow win over Quilmes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Club Atletico Guemes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Quilmes?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 32%, draw 29%, Quilmes 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Quilmes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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