Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-9.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.92/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.12
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
06.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
03.04.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.02.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 24%, draw 30%, Ferro Carril Oeste 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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