Brown De Adrogue 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brown De Adrogue
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.07.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-1 HT 0-1 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
18.03.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi squeezed past Brown De Adrogue 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Aldosivi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brown De Adrogue and 1.00 for Atletico Aldosivi.

What was the final score of Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Brown De Adrogue 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brown De Adrogue 24%, draw 27%, Atletico Aldosivi 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
12 May 2024
00:00 Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
19:10 San Telmo vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →
21:10 Club Atletico Guemes vs Quilmes Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →
21:30 Alvarado vs Talleres Remedios Analysis →