San Telmo 0-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.21
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
02.10.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta squeezed past San Telmo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Telmo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Atletico Atlanta?

San Telmo 0-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 43%, draw 31%, Atletico Atlanta 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Telmo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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