Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.48
Over
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
35%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.5pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.27/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.04
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.09.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
22.04.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.06.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
17.09.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.05.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza nicked a narrow win over Nueva Chicago 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.33 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 41%, draw 35%, Nueva Chicago 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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