Quilmes 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒00:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.19
+6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
12.05.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
10.07.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Guemes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Quilmes and 1.50 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Quilmes 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 40%, draw 33%, Club Atletico Guemes 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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