Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.28
Over 2.5
25%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
3.05
No
68%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
15%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-12.5pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
75%
Under 2.5
75%
+0.1pp
25%
Over 2.5
25%
-0.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
29%
+3.0pp
68%
BTTS No
71%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.99/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.05
-23% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.05.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Deportivo Moron shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Moron?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 39%, draw 37%, Deportivo Moron 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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