Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
3.06
No
60%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.9pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
28%
+11.7pp
60%
BTTS No
72%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.09/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.22
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
12.05.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
23.03.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-1 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn edged past Guillermo Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.50 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Guillermo Brown?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 49%, draw 35%, Guillermo Brown 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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