Tigres UANL 3-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.96
Over
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
24%
6.48
2-3
40%
2.12
4-5
25%
2.37
6+
11%
4.58
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.48 — our 24% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tigres UANL win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
80%
-18.7pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.3pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli The Market 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.85/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.42
+32% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +97%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
466 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
394 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
06.02.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
19.09.2012 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
02.08.2012 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
3-0
AWAY Real Esteli
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
434 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL swept aside Real Esteli 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 62% of the ball to Real Esteli's 38%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.67 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Real Esteli?

Tigres UANL 3-0 Real Esteli in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 62%, draw 19%, Real Esteli 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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13 Feb 2025
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