Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shabab Riyadh v Al-Qadsiah — Team-Based Signals
Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-1
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
1-2
HT 0-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 Al-Qadsiah — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 53% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 47%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.93 — on chances, Al Shabab Riyadh could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 0.83 for Al-Qadsiah.
What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 26%, draw 17%, Al-Qadsiah 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.